TradersClass

Superior Trading Skills through Education

 
Crude Oil & the Dollar Print
Written by Site admin   
Sunday, 29 January 2017 19:44

Crude Oil and the US Dollar have a long term correlation, it's inverse, so as the Dollar goes up, Oil goes down.

Since Trumps election we've had a break out and bull run in the Dollar and, if as seems likely, there will be a series of US interest rate rises this year, there's more strength to come. So, if the correlation is inverse and the Dollar rises, Crude Oil should fall, right?

WTIDXYJan17

On this chart I inverted the DXY, in red, so withe the correlation they should both be running in the same direction. Problem is, the correlation broke last May. Since then they've moved opposite the long term correlation and have, this month, started to converge again. As the arrows there should be much more of this to come. Either Crude falls or the Dollar strengthens.

 

From the blog

Catching the Big Moves....

 A couple of weeks ago I spoke at Round-the-Clock-Trader about “How to catch the BIG moves in just 20 minutes a day...”. You can view the full recording of the webinar here.

The talk was based on the two main techniques I use in my trading - The trend following and reversal finding process from the Twenty Minute Extreme Swing Trader and the Fibonacci based, Harmonic Wave Trader. The chart shows these two methods in action, read on....

Read more...

Check these links

  • JoomlaWorks Simple Image Rotator